Visakhapatnam, December 25: The low-pressure area that developed in the west-central Bay of Bengal has strengthened, bringing significant weather changes across Andhra Pradesh. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), this system, located off the south coast and north Tamil Nadu, is expected to move west-southwestward and gradually weaken over the next 24 hours.

In addition to the low-pressure system, a surface depression at 4.5 km altitude is influencing weather patterns across the region. Combined with a western trough moving over North India, the system is drawing moisture and causing widespread rains and a notable dip in temperatures.

Rain Forecast and Areas Likely to Be Affected

The IMD predicts light to moderate rains across the state for the next three days, with some districts experiencing heavy rainfall and thunderstorms:

• December 26–28: South coastal districts may experience scattered moderate rains.
• Nellore and Chittoor Districts: Heavy rains with thundershowers are likely.
• Fisherman Warning: The department has issued advisories against fishing due to turbulent sea conditions.

On Tuesday, light rains accompanied by cold winds lashed multiple districts, including Alluri Seetharamaraju, Vizianagaram, Krishna, Bapatla, Eluru, East Godavari, and Visakhapatnam. Coastal areas experienced cloudy skies and significant temperature drops.

Cold Wave Intensifies

The impact of the low-pressure system has caused temperatures across the state to plummet by 2 to 4 degrees below normal. In some regions like Kalingapatnam, Visakhapatnam, Tuni, and Kakinada, the temperature dropped by 3 to 7 degrees, amplifying the chill.

Ports Under High Alert

The third warning signal remains in place at all ports in Andhra Pradesh as rough seas persist. High waves, reaching up to 5 meters, were observed along the Tirupati district coast on Tuesday.

Weather Outlook

The weather pattern is expected to stabilize by the weekend. Rainfall is likely to subside after Saturday, bringing relief from the current wet and cold conditions. Residents are advised to stay updated on weather forecasts and take necessary precautions.

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The IMD reported that the cyclone had weakened into a severe low-pressure area as of Saturday due to dry air blowing from the land. As a result, the immediate danger posed by the cyclone has been mitigated.

Despite the diminished threat, the IMD has forecast gusty winds reaching speeds of up to 55 km per hour along the Andhra coast until Monday. Light to moderate rains are also expected over the next three days. Fishermen have been advised not to venture into the sea until Sunday due to rough conditions.

Rainfall Forecast and Regional Impacts

• Moderate to heavy rainfall is likely in isolated areas over the next two to three days due to the influence of the low-pressure system.
• Heavy rains are predicted in Rayalaseema and coastal Andhra regions on December 24, 25, and 26.
• Areas such as Vizianagaram, Srikakulam, Visakhapatnam, Parvathipuram, and Manyam districts have already experienced heavy rainfall over the past three days, accompanied by a significant drop in temperatures (4–6°C below normal).

Precautionary Measures

The IMD has advised residents in affected regions to take necessary precautions. Fishermen have been urged to heed weather warnings and refrain from fishing activities until conditions stabilize.

Conclusion

While Andhra Pradesh has avoided the brunt of the cyclone, weather conditions are expected to remain challenging in the coming days due to the residual effects of the low-pressure system. Residents are advised to stay informed through official updates and take necessary safety measures.

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Weather System Details

According to the IMD, an upper air cyclonic circulation is likely to form over the South Andaman Sea and adjoining regions on November 21. This system is expected to move west-northwestwards and develop into a low-pressure area by November 23. It could intensify further into a depression over the southwest Bay of Bengal during the subsequent two days, with its trajectory being closely monitored.

Impact on Andhra Pradesh and Rayalaseema

The low-pressure system is likely to bring moderate to heavy rainfall to south coastal Andhra Pradesh, including Nellore and Prakasam districts, as well as Rayalaseema regions such as Tirupati, Annamayya, Chittoor, Anantapur, and YSR districts.

• Rainfall Predictions:
  • November 26–29: Moderate to heavy rainfall with isolated very heavy downpours.
  • November 30–December 1: Light to moderate rains expected to persist over south coastal AP and Rayalaseema.

Advisory for Farmers

The IMD has advised farmers in the affected regions to take necessary precautions and complete the harvesting of crops by November 25 to minimize potential losses due to heavy rains.

Precautionary Measures for Public

Residents are urged to stay updated with weather forecasts and avoid unnecessary travel in areas likely to experience heavy rainfall. Local authorities are preparing to handle any disruptions caused by the system’s intensification and subsequent impact.

As the low-pressure system progresses, the IMD will continue to monitor its movement and provide updates on its potential effects.

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IMD Forecast: Rain and Thunderstorms Ahead

The IMD has forecast moderate to heavy rains across Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka. These showers, expected to last over the next four days, are likely to include thunderstorms and lightning, particularly impacting regions along the south coast and Rayalaseema. The weather department warns that a surface-level circulation extending up to 3.1 km above mean sea level in the Bay of Bengal has triggered this pattern, influencing both coastal and interior areas.

Increasing Cold in Telangana

Already, night temperatures have been falling in Telangana, signaling the onset of winter-like conditions. If rainfall continues as predicted, the nighttime cold could become even more intense, bringing a more significant chill to the region. Daytime temperatures are expected to be more moderate, offering some relief from the usual warmth.

Outlook for Andhra Pradesh

For Andhra Pradesh, the forecast indicates that the South Coast and Rayalaseema regions may experience consistent light to moderate rain, with potential for heavier downpours in isolated areas. Thunderstorms are also expected in some locations, adding to the cooling effect.

Final Thoughts

With the current weather developments, people in affected areas are advised to stay updated on local weather reports and prepare for changing conditions, including cooler nights and potential storms. For those who enjoy the colder season, the coming week will provide an early taste of winter, thanks to this combination of rain and chilly nights.

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The IMD also noted the persistence of a well-marked low-pressure area over south coastal Andhra Pradesh and adjoining north coastal Tamil Nadu. This cyclonic circulation extends up to 5.8 km above mean sea level and is tilting southwestwards. It is predicted to move west-northwestwards and weaken into a low-pressure system soon.

Meanwhile, private weather website Skymet has also issued a report stating that the cyclonic circulation forming over the North Andaman Sea may have the potential to evolve into a tropical storm. According to Skymet, the system is expected to move across the Myanmar-Thailand region and enter the east-central Bay of Bengal by October 19 or 20. As it moves towards the central parts of the Bay of Bengal, the circulation is likely to strengthen further.

The forecast highlights that conditions in the Indian seas are conducive for low-pressure systems to develop into tropical storms. The potential for intensification is heightened by the availability of oceanic heat and sufficient sea travel. As a result, the entire coastline from Odisha, West Bengal, Bangladesh, and Myanmar could be vulnerable to the impact of this potential storm, urging coastal regions to stay alert and prepared.

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According to the IMD, the depression was moving west-northwest at 15 km/h and was situated at latitude 12.5° N and longitude 82.7° E, approximately 280 km east-southeast of Chennai, and 370 km southeast of Nellore. The depression is expected to follow a west-northwest trajectory, making landfall between Puducherry and Nellore, near Chennai. Thunderstorms, lightning, and squally winds are anticipated along south coastal Andhra Pradesh and Rayalaseema as a result.

Rainfall and Wind Alerts:
The IMD has issued a heavy rainfall alert, predicting substantial downpour and thunderstorms for October 17, especially in south coastal AP and Rayalaseema. On Day 1, Kavali and Nellore recorded the maximum rainfall at 5.5 cm each, while Tirupati recorded 5.3 cm. Moderate rainfall is expected in areas including Narsapur (3.5 cm), Ongole (3.0 cm), and Bapatla (1.7 cm).

Thunderstorms, coupled with lightning, are likely in various parts of Andhra Pradesh, including north coastal AP and Yanam. In addition, coastal areas should expect squally winds reaching speeds of 40-50 km/h, with gusts up to 60 km/h in some places.

Outlook for the Next Five Days:
Day 1 (October 17): Heavy rain and thunderstorms are anticipated in south coastal AP and Rayalaseema.
Day 2: The intense rain spell will continue, with thunderstorms likely in isolated areas.
Days 3-5: The rainfall intensity is expected to reduce, and no significant rainfall is forecasted for these days.
Residents are urged to exercise caution and stay informed about the latest weather updates. Coastal communities are advised to take necessary precautions and stay indoors during periods of high winds and thunderstorms.

The IMD advises fishermen to avoid venturing into the sea, as conditions are expected to be hazardous. Local authorities have been instructed to remain vigilant and provide assistance where necessary.

Stay tuned for updates on weather conditions and safety advisories to stay prepared during this period of heavy rainfall and storm activity in Andhra Pradesh.

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Cyclone in Bay of Bengal Brings Heavy Rains

A cyclone currently positioned over northern Chhattisgarh is driving significant rainfall across neighboring regions. Odisha and parts of Chhattisgarh are already facing heavy downpours, and the effects of this weather system are now extending to Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. The IMD has forecasted that moderate to heavy rains will continue in these areas, especially in coastal and northern Andhra Pradesh.

Districts Expected to Receive Heavy Rainfall

Several districts in Andhra Pradesh have already started experiencing the effects of the cyclone. The AP Disaster Management Organization reported that areas such as Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Parvathipuram, Manyam, Alluri Sitarama Raju, Anakapalli, Annamaiya, and Chittoor have already received rainfall. Residents are advised to stay alert as more showers are expected throughout the day.

Another Low Pressure System Developing

In addition to the current cyclone, the IMD has warned of another potential threat. A new low-pressure system is likely to form in the Bay of Bengal by Thursday, which could bring more rain to Andhra Pradesh. While the immediate effects will be felt in coastal Andhra, the entire state could experience light to moderate rainfall due to this new system.

Heavy Rains Expected in Andhra and Telangana

According to the weather forecast, Coast Andhra and Uttar Andhra regions are likely to receive heavy rains, with moderate showers expected across other parts of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. The impact of the current cyclone is being closely monitored by state authorities, who are prepared to respond to any potential flooding or other weather-related incidents.

Safety Precautions and Warnings

In light of the forecast, residents of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana are advised to take precautions, especially those living in low-lying areas prone to flooding. The AP Disaster Management Organization has urged people to stay indoors, avoid traveling unless necessary, and follow local advisories. Motorists should be cautious as heavy rain could lead to waterlogging on roads.

Citizens are encouraged to keep track of weather updates and follow the guidelines issued by local authorities. With another low-pressure system developing, it is important for residents to stay informed and prepared.

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The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts that rain will continue in various parts of north coastal Andhra Pradesh on Sunday.

According to the IMD in Amaravati, the depression will move west-northwestward through Odisha and Chhattisgarh, gradually weakening by Sunday morning.

In response to the heavy rains, officials in the Alluri Sitarama Raju (ASR) district have relocated families from vulnerable areas for safety.

Due to the persistent rainfall over the last two days, many streams and rivulets in the ASR district are overflowing, causing road closures and uprooted trees.

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