Moderate rains are expected in some parts of Telangana on Monday, with heavy rains likely in other areas. Specifically, moderate rains are forecasted in districts such as Komaram Bhim, Rajanna Sirisilla, Karimnagar, Peddapalli, Jayashankar Bhupapalalli, Mulugu, Warangal, Hanumakonda, Janagam, Siddipet, Bhuvanagiri, Rangareddy, Malkazgiri, Vikarabad, Nagar Kurnool, Mahbubnagar, Kurnool, Vanaparthi, Naraguyanapeta, Jolamba Gadwala, among others. The Hyderabad Meteorological Center has alerted about the potential for rain, issuing a yellow alert for 20 districts. Officials mention the likelihood of gusty winds, thunder, and lightning in these areas.

The AP Disaster Management Agency has also highlighted the possibility of rains in Andhra Pradesh. Areas such as Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Parvathipuram Manyam, Alluri Sitamaraju, Palnadu, Prakasam, and Nandyala districts are expected to experience light to moderate rain on Monday. Additionally, regions like Visakhapatnam, Anakapalli, Kakinada, Konaseema, East Godavari, West Godavari, Eluru, Krishna, NTR, Guntur, Bapatla, Nellore, Kurnool, YSR, Annamaiya, Chittoor, and Tirupati districts may also receive light rainfall.

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The alert extends to both Telugu states, with a yellow warning issued for multiple districts. Additionally, Andhra Pradesh is predicted to receive heavy rainfall following recent flooding incidents in Vijayawada and other areas. The impact of the low pressure systems in the North West Bay of Bengal could result in continued rains across North Coast Andhra, affecting regions like Kakinada, Kadapa, and West Godavari.

As the situation unfolds, officials advise residents to stay vigilant as gusty winds, thunderstorms, and lightning are expected to accompany the rainfall. The ongoing weather patterns suggest a prolonged period of precipitation, posing potential risks to agricultural lands and infrastructure in the affected regions.

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There is a possibility of moderate to heavy rains in Hyderabad, Rangareddy, Malkajgiri, and Nalgonda districts. People should take proper precautions as there are indications of heavy rains in these areas. If the rains are heavy, there are chances of waterlogging in the low-lying areas, water logging on the roads, and traffic problems. Especially in Hyderabad city, due to the impact of rains, congestion on the roads will increase, and traffic may be blocked at important junctions. So it is better for people to plan early rather than late while traveling. It is necessary to heed the warnings issued by the Meteorological Department and act cautiously. It is advised not to go out for work other than emergencies. Heavy rains can lead to power outages, so precautions should be taken in advance.

The concerned departments of the government are taking pre-emptive measures to prevent problems arising due to rains. The people of the low-lying areas are advised to be prepared to face the flood situation. Farmers should take appropriate measures to protect crops. Farmers need to make advance plans to protect the crops keeping in mind the possibility of rains affecting the crops. In such rainy conditions, water sources like rivers, ponds, ponds, and canals are likely to be flooded so people should be careful. Meteorological department officials warn people to watch the current conditions carefully and be alert.

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Ronanki Kurmanath, Managing Director of the Disaster Management Agency, highlighted the potential impact of the weather system. He stated that moderate to heavy rains are anticipated in certain regions on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, with lighter to moderate rainfall expected in other areas. In light of the forecast, residents are advised to remain vigilant and take necessary safety measures.

Farmers, agricultural workers, and cattle-shepherds are cautioned against seeking shelter under trees, poles, towers, or in public spaces due to the risk of thunderstorms accompanying the rain. Ronanki Kurmanath provided a detailed breakdown of the weather conditions expected over the next three days:

23 September, Monday:

• Moderate to heavy rains forecasted in Parvathipurammaniam, Alluri Sitaramaraj, Eluru, Krishna, NTR, Guntur, Bapatla, Palnadu, Prakasam, Kurnool, Nandyala Anantapuram, and Sri Satyasai districts.
• Light to moderate rains expected in Srikakulam, Vijayanagaram, Kakinada, East Godavari, YSR, Annamaiya, Chittoor, and Tirupati districts.
• Possibility of light rain in parts of Visakhapatnam, Anakapalli, Konaseema, West Godavari, and Nellore districts.

24 September, Tuesday:

• Isolated moderate to heavy rainfall projected in West Godavari, Eluru, Krishna, NTR, Guntur, Bapatla, Palnadu, Prakasam, Kurnool, Nandyala, Anantapur, YSR, Annamaiya, Chittoor, and Tirupati districts.
• Scattered light to moderate rains expected in Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Parvathipuramanyam, Alluri Sitaramaraj, Kakinada, Konaseema, East Godavari, and Nellore districts.

25 September, Wednesday:

• Anticipated moderate to heavy rains in scattered places in Kakinada, Konaseema, East Godavari, West Godavari, Eluru, Krishna, NTR, Guntur, Bapatla, and Palnadu districts.
• Possibility of light rain in some regions of Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Parvathipuramanyam, Alluri Sitamaraju, Visakhapatnam, Anakapalli, Prakasam, Nellore, Kurnool, Nandyala, Anantapuram, Sri Sathyasai, YSR, Annamayya, Chittoor, and Tirupati districts.

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Monsoon Update: Favorable conditions are predicted for the withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from parts of west Rajasthan and Kachchh (Gujarat) starting September 23.

Weather Forecast: Thunderstorms with lightning are probable in isolated spots of north coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam until Sunday. Strong surface winds at speeds of 30 to 40 Kmph are expected in isolated areas across north and south coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, and Rayalaseema. Heavy rainfall is forecasted in isolated regions of north and south coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam on Monday. Rayalaseema may experience thunderstorms with lightning, accompanied by strong surface winds reaching 30 to 40 Kmph in isolated areas.

Recent Events: Over the past 24 hours until 8.30 am on Friday, Gantyada in Vizianagaram district recorded the highest rainfall of 69.2 cm, followed by Vizianagaram town with 45.2 cm and Mentada (Vizianagaram) with 43 cm. Meanwhile, temperatures surged in various parts of Andhra Pradesh, with Kavali reaching the highest temperature of 39.8 degrees Celsius, Nellore at 39.1 degrees, and Nandyal at 36 degrees.

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Adding to the weather dynamics, the Meteorological Department has highlighted a major development concerning La Nina. The onset of La Nina conditions is anticipated to manifest in September, a period typically associated with the monsoon season. La Nina, occurring towards the end of the monsoon, is known to trigger a notable dip in temperatures. The Meteorological Department warns of a potential escalation in cold conditions due to the escalated rainfall.

Northern regions of India are poised to receive substantial rainfall during September, with indications pointing to a continuation of these showers into October, influenced by the La Nina phenomenon. El Nino and La Nina events, resulting from slight fluctuations in sea surface temperatures, can orchestrate significant alterations in global weather patterns. While El Nino leads to warmer surface temperatures, La Nina induces cooler conditions. During La Nina, strong easterly winds propel ocean waters westward, causing a rapid cooling of the sea surface and fostering the formation of rain clouds.

The weather experts emphasize that these fluctuations are attributed to La Nina and El Nino occurrences. IMD forecasts the return of the monsoon in September due to the La Nina effect, potentially triggering a robust atmospheric impact in the Bay of Bengal. This atmospheric influence could sustain rain showers well into September and October, potentially delaying the conclusion of the monsoon season.

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The cyclone is expected to make landfall near Kalingapatnam between Visakhapatnam and Gopalapur, moving further west-northwestward by midnight. The monsoon trough at mean sea level now extends from the cyclonic center over the northeast adjoining northwest Arabian Sea to the cyclone center over Nalia, Malegaon, Brahmapuri, Jagadalpur, Kalingapatnam, West Central & adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal.

Weather Forecast:

• Today: Light to moderate rain or thundershowers are likely at many places. Heavy to very heavy rains are expected at few places with thunderstorms and strong surface winds of 30-40 kmph.
• Tomorrow: Similar weather conditions with heavy to very heavy rains likely at one or two places and thunderstorms with strong surface winds.
• Day after tomorrow: Light to moderate rain is likely at some places with strong surface winds of 30-40 kmph.
• Rayalaseema: Light to moderate rain or thundershowers are likely at many places today and tomorrow, with heavy to very heavy rains likely at one or two places. Thunderstorms with strong surface winds are expected.

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In addition, the Meteorological Department has cautioned residents of both Telugu states about the possibility of heavy to very heavy rains in the upcoming days. Officials have observed a cyclone extending up to 5.8 km above sea level across the east-central Bay of Bengal and its surrounding regions. This phenomenon is anticipated to lead to the formation of a low-pressure system in the east-central and North Bay of Bengal.

The impact of this weather pattern is expected to result in heavy rains not only in Telangana but also in Andhra Pradesh. A surface circulation in the East Central Bay of Bengal and North Bay of Bengal is likely to give rise to low-pressure conditions in these areas. The forecast suggests that the low-pressure system will move west-northwestwards, reaching the coastal regions of South Odisha and North Andhra Pradesh within the next two days.

The subsequent three days are predicted to bring heavy rainfall to select locations in North Coastal Andhra Pradesh. Yanam may experience light to moderate rain or thundershowers on Thursday, accompanied by strong surface winds of 30-40 kmph. Similar weather patterns are expected on Friday and Saturday at various places along the coasts of Andhra Pradesh. Rayalaseema is also likely to witness light to moderate rain and strong surface winds during this period.

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A fresh low-pressure system is likely to form in the Bay of Bengal within the next two days and is expected to move west-northwest, nearing South Orissa and North Andhra Pradesh. Along with Andhra Pradesh and Yanam, lower tropospheric winds are currently active, indicating a high chance of rainfall due to these atmospheric conditions.

For the detailed weather report over the upcoming days, light to moderate rain or thundershowers are expected in various regions on Tuesday and Wednesday. Thunderstorms accompanied by strong surface winds gusting at 30-40 kmph are likely during this period.

On Thursday, the forecast indicates the possibility of light to moderate rain or thundershowers in many areas, with heavy rainfall expected in isolated locations. Thunderstorms and strong surface winds with speeds of 30-40 kmph are anticipated throughout the Telugu states.

Specifically for South Coast Andhra Pradesh, light to moderate rain is forecasted in one or two places on Tuesday and Wednesday, with strong surface winds reaching speeds of 30-40 km per hour. Similar conditions are expected on Thursday, with the addition of thunderstorms and strong surface winds gusting at 30-40 kmph.

In Rayalaseema, residents can expect light to moderate rain in one or two places on Tuesday and Wednesday, accompanied by strong surface winds blowing at 30-40 km per hour. Thursday’s forecast includes the possibility of light to moderate rain or thundershowers, along with thunderstorms and strong surface winds at the same speed.

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The monsoon trough has now elongated to 0.9 km above sea level, passing through the focal point of the low-pressure zone covering Phalodi, Banasthali, Shivpuri, Sidhi, Ranchi, and the areas adjacent to northwest Bay of Bengal in West Bengal and Bangladesh.

Moreover, a surface circulation that originated over the southeastern Arabian Sea and the nearby south Kerala coast has shifted towards the south interior of Karnataka and its neighboring regions, reaching heights of up to 5.8 km above sea level, with an southwest inclination. The trough stretching from Konkan to the southeastern Arabian Sea, extending from north interior Karnataka to the Comorin region and the south interior Karnataka, is now overlaid on the surface circulation in the surrounding zones, reaching altitudes of up to 1.5 km above the average sea level.

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