Visakhapatnam, December 25: The low-pressure area that developed in the west-central Bay of Bengal has strengthened, bringing significant weather changes across Andhra Pradesh. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), this system, located off the south coast and north Tamil Nadu, is expected to move west-southwestward and gradually weaken over the next 24 hours.

In addition to the low-pressure system, a surface depression at 4.5 km altitude is influencing weather patterns across the region. Combined with a western trough moving over North India, the system is drawing moisture and causing widespread rains and a notable dip in temperatures.

Rain Forecast and Areas Likely to Be Affected

The IMD predicts light to moderate rains across the state for the next three days, with some districts experiencing heavy rainfall and thunderstorms:

• December 26–28: South coastal districts may experience scattered moderate rains.
• Nellore and Chittoor Districts: Heavy rains with thundershowers are likely.
• Fisherman Warning: The department has issued advisories against fishing due to turbulent sea conditions.

On Tuesday, light rains accompanied by cold winds lashed multiple districts, including Alluri Seetharamaraju, Vizianagaram, Krishna, Bapatla, Eluru, East Godavari, and Visakhapatnam. Coastal areas experienced cloudy skies and significant temperature drops.

Cold Wave Intensifies

The impact of the low-pressure system has caused temperatures across the state to plummet by 2 to 4 degrees below normal. In some regions like Kalingapatnam, Visakhapatnam, Tuni, and Kakinada, the temperature dropped by 3 to 7 degrees, amplifying the chill.

Ports Under High Alert

The third warning signal remains in place at all ports in Andhra Pradesh as rough seas persist. High waves, reaching up to 5 meters, were observed along the Tirupati district coast on Tuesday.

Weather Outlook

The weather pattern is expected to stabilize by the weekend. Rainfall is likely to subside after Saturday, bringing relief from the current wet and cold conditions. Residents are advised to stay updated on weather forecasts and take necessary precautions.

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The Meteorological Department has issued a warning for Andhra Pradesh as a severe low-pressure area in the Bay of Bengal continues to influence the region. Light to moderate rains are expected across the state, with heavy rainfall likely in districts such as Nellore, Prakasam, Bapatla, and Tirupati from Monday to Thursday.

Unpredictable Low Pressure Movement

The low-pressure area, which formed on December 16, was expected to weaken by Saturday. However, its erratic movements, influenced by westerly winds, have made it difficult for meteorologists to predict its path accurately. The remnants of this low pressure are now moving towards the south coast of Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu, a rare and concerning development.

Impact on Farmers and Coastal Communities

This year has been particularly challenging for Andhra Pradesh, with frequent low-pressure systems and cyclones wreaking havoc. Farmers are once again on edge, fearing the potential destruction of their crops.

Meanwhile, coastal areas are bracing for winds of up to 55 km/h. Ports have been placed under warning number 3, and fishermen have been advised to stay ashore from today until Thursday as a precautionary measure.

What to Expect

• Rainfall: Heavy rains are likely in the southern districts of Andhra Pradesh.
• Winds: Coastal areas may experience winds of up to 55 km/h.
• Advisories: Fishermen are urged to avoid venturing into the sea, and residents in low-lying areas should remain cautious.

Rare Weather Phenomenon

Meteorological experts have highlighted the rarity of such chaotic low-pressure movements. While it was initially predicted to weaken, its unpredictable path has raised concerns. Officials are closely monitoring the system, and more clarity on its impact is expected in the coming hours.

Conclusion

Residents of Andhra Pradesh are advised to stay informed through official updates and take necessary precautions to ensure safety. The state’s resilience will once again be tested as it faces these challenging weather conditions.

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The IMD reported that the cyclone had weakened into a severe low-pressure area as of Saturday due to dry air blowing from the land. As a result, the immediate danger posed by the cyclone has been mitigated.

Despite the diminished threat, the IMD has forecast gusty winds reaching speeds of up to 55 km per hour along the Andhra coast until Monday. Light to moderate rains are also expected over the next three days. Fishermen have been advised not to venture into the sea until Sunday due to rough conditions.

Rainfall Forecast and Regional Impacts

• Moderate to heavy rainfall is likely in isolated areas over the next two to three days due to the influence of the low-pressure system.
• Heavy rains are predicted in Rayalaseema and coastal Andhra regions on December 24, 25, and 26.
• Areas such as Vizianagaram, Srikakulam, Visakhapatnam, Parvathipuram, and Manyam districts have already experienced heavy rainfall over the past three days, accompanied by a significant drop in temperatures (4–6°C below normal).

Precautionary Measures

The IMD has advised residents in affected regions to take necessary precautions. Fishermen have been urged to heed weather warnings and refrain from fishing activities until conditions stabilize.

Conclusion

While Andhra Pradesh has avoided the brunt of the cyclone, weather conditions are expected to remain challenging in the coming days due to the residual effects of the low-pressure system. Residents are advised to stay informed through official updates and take necessary safety measures.

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The low-pressure area, situated over the southwest to west-central Bay of Bengal, is expected to move northwestwards and make landfall along the north Tamil Nadu and southern Andhra Pradesh coasts within the next 12 hours. It will then travel northwards along the Andhra Pradesh coastline over the next 24 hours, impacting the weather across the region.

District-Wise Weather Forecast

• Friday, December 20:
  • Heavy Rains Expected: Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Parvathipuram Manyam, Alluri Seetharamaraju, Visakhapatnam, Anakapalle, Kakinada, and Eluru districts.
  • Light to Moderate Rains: Konaseema, East Godavari, West Godavari, Krishna, NTR, Prakasam, Nellore, Kurnool, Nandyal, Anantapur, Sri Sathya Sai, YSR, and Chittoor districts.

Precautions for Public and Farmers

• Farmers: Ensure that crops are protected from excessive water. Take preventive measures to avoid losses in agricultural work.
• Residents: Stay indoors during heavy rain and avoid areas prone to flooding.
• Fishermen: Strong gusty winds and turbulent seas make fishing highly dangerous. Avoid venturing into the sea until further notice.

Warnings Issued

The Visakhapatnam Cyclone Center has issued a third warning for all northern Andhra Pradesh ports and Machilipatnam ports on the southern coast. Authorities from the Andhra Pradesh Disaster Management Agency have urged people to stay alert and follow updates from official channels.

This is a critical time for Andhra Pradesh, with heavy rains and strong winds expected to impact daily life. Everyone is advised to take necessary precautions and remain vigilant.

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This marks the second cyclone of the post-monsoon season after Cyclone Dana, which impacted Odisha as a severe cyclone in late October. Cyclone Fengal has been named by Saudi Arabia, as per the IMD’s naming conventions.

Heavy Rainfall Predictions

The IMD has forecast heavy to very heavy rainfall across several districts of Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu between Wednesday and Saturday.

Andhra Pradesh Rainfall Alerts:

• November 29 (Wednesday):
  Heavy rainfall is predicted in parts of Prakasam, Nellore, Tirupati, Annamayya, and Chittoor districts.
• November 30 (Thursday):
  Heavy to very heavy rainfall will impact areas in Nellore, Tirupati, and Annamayya districts. Moderate rainfall is likely over Bapatla, Prakasam, Sri Satya Sai, Chittoor, and YSR Kadapa districts.
• November 29 – December 1 (Friday to Saturday):
  Widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected in parts of Nellore, Prakasam, Tirupati, Annamayya, and Chittoor districts, along with Bapatla, Sri Satya Sai, YSR Kadapa, Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Visakhapatnam, and Anakapalle districts.

Tamil Nadu Rainfall Alerts:

Heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely in coastal Tamil Nadu during this period, particularly in areas close to the cyclone’s trajectory.

Precautionary Measures

Residents in affected districts are advised to:

• Avoid venturing into low-lying and coastal areas.
• Secure belongings and ensure emergency supplies are ready.
• Follow updates and advisories issued by local authorities and the IMD.

Authorities are on high alert to mitigate risks and provide assistance in flood-prone areas.

Stay safe and stay informed as Cyclone Fengal approaches the Indian coast.

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Alerts Issued for Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh

In response to the cyclone’s growing intensity, Tamil Nadu has issued a red alert for the states of Puducherry and Tamil Nadu, while Andhra Pradesh is on yellow alert. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecasted heavy to very heavy rainfall, particularly in Cuddalore, Myladudurai, and Tiruvarur districts, prompting local authorities to declare holidays for educational institutions in these regions. Already, Nagapattinam district has started experiencing heavy rains due to the cyclone’s impact.

Impact on Andhra Pradesh

In Andhra Pradesh, the cyclone’s effects are expected to cause moderate to heavy rains over the next 24 hours in districts such as Nellore and Tirupati. In the subsequent 48 hours, Annamaiya, Prakasam, and Chittoor districts are also likely to receive heavy rainfall. The Uttarandhra region is expected to experience significant rainfall from November 30 onward.

The cyclone’s influence has prompted the Andhra Pradesh Disaster Management Department to issue alerts, and officials have warned fishermen not to venture out to sea due to the dangerous weather conditions. All coastal ports in the state are under emergency alert number one, and district collectors have been instructed to take precautionary measures to ensure the safety of the public.

Precautionary Measures for the Public

In light of the severe weather conditions, authorities are urging the public to stay informed through official channels and to take necessary precautions, especially in the affected coastal and low-lying areas. The Department of Disaster Management is on high alert, and local governments have been asked to be ready for any eventualities. The public is advised to avoid unnecessary travel during the storm’s peak impact and stay indoors as much as possible.

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Cyclone Formation and Impact

The low-pressure system is currently moving from the west to the northwest and is forecasted to strengthen into a cyclone in the South Bay of Bengal. The cyclone is predicted to bring heavy rains to coastal districts from Wednesday to Saturday. Visakhapatnam and other coastal areas will experience light to moderate rains, with heavy to very heavy rainfall expected in certain parts. The Meteorological Center has warned farmers and the general public to take necessary precautions as the weather system continues to develop.

Projected Path and Landfall

The system is expected to move further north-westward and cross the coast of Tamil Nadu, heading toward Sri Lanka by Wednesday evening, November 27. The cyclone’s winds are expected to bring rain to the southern coastal districts, particularly Nellore and Prakasam. The heavy rainfall will also affect other areas due to the cyclone’s proximity.

Wind and Sea Conditions

The wind speeds along the south coast are expected to increase, with winds blowing at 35 to 50 kmph along the coastline, and gusts reaching up to 65 kmph. The Visakhapatnam Cyclone Warning Center has issued a strong advisory, warning that the sea will be rough starting Tuesday. Fishermen have been advised to stay off the waters until November 29 due to the dangerous conditions.

Cold Weather Alert

In addition to the rain, cold winds have begun sweeping across the state, leading to lower-than-average temperatures in the mornings. The Meteorological Center has warned that temperatures will continue to drop in the coming days, particularly in Telangana, where the cold is increasing steadily. The public is advised to take extra precautions against the cold as the weather conditions intensify.

Conclusion

Andhra Pradesh and surrounding areas are preparing for a challenging few days as heavy rains, strong winds, and cold weather take hold. With the cyclone developing in the Bay of Bengal, authorities have issued multiple warnings, urging residents, particularly along the coast, to remain cautious and heed safety advisories.

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This newly-formed air mass is expected to travel towards Sri Lanka, Tamil Nadu, and Kerala, and once it strengthens into a gale, it will begin to affect regions along the South Coast and Rayalaseema, bringing moderate to heavy rainfall. The districts likely to be impacted include Nellore, Prakasam, and other parts of Rayalaseema. The weather conditions are predicted to intensify as the system gains strength, and rainfall is expected to last for several days, with the most severe conditions anticipated from the 26th of the month.

The impending rains may bring significant challenges to local farmers who are already dealing with crop damage from Cyclone Dana, which struck the region last month. There is growing concern about the potential for further destruction of crops and infrastructure, especially if the predicted winds and heavy rains materialize.

Farmers and residents are urged to stay alert to the weather updates and take necessary precautions. The Meteorological Department is keeping a close watch on the developing weather system and will issue further warnings as needed.

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Weather System Details

According to the IMD, an upper air cyclonic circulation is likely to form over the South Andaman Sea and adjoining regions on November 21. This system is expected to move west-northwestwards and develop into a low-pressure area by November 23. It could intensify further into a depression over the southwest Bay of Bengal during the subsequent two days, with its trajectory being closely monitored.

Impact on Andhra Pradesh and Rayalaseema

The low-pressure system is likely to bring moderate to heavy rainfall to south coastal Andhra Pradesh, including Nellore and Prakasam districts, as well as Rayalaseema regions such as Tirupati, Annamayya, Chittoor, Anantapur, and YSR districts.

• Rainfall Predictions:
  • November 26–29: Moderate to heavy rainfall with isolated very heavy downpours.
  • November 30–December 1: Light to moderate rains expected to persist over south coastal AP and Rayalaseema.

Advisory for Farmers

The IMD has advised farmers in the affected regions to take necessary precautions and complete the harvesting of crops by November 25 to minimize potential losses due to heavy rains.

Precautionary Measures for Public

Residents are urged to stay updated with weather forecasts and avoid unnecessary travel in areas likely to experience heavy rainfall. Local authorities are preparing to handle any disruptions caused by the system’s intensification and subsequent impact.

As the low-pressure system progresses, the IMD will continue to monitor its movement and provide updates on its potential effects.

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The forecast suggests the formation of a cyclonic circulation over the extreme South Andaman Sea, south of the Nicobar Islands, on November 21. Although meteorological norms indicate a low probability of growth due to minimal Coriolis force near the equator, experts warn that storms often defy predictions. This developing system could follow an unusual path and grow into a significant weather event.

Likely Path and Intensity

The cyclonic circulation is expected to gain strength and become more organized between November 22 and November 23, potentially forming a low-pressure area. If the system intensifies into a cyclone, it will be named Fengal, a name suggested by Saudi Arabia and pronounced “Feinjal.”

November cyclones over the Bay of Bengal traditionally head toward north AP, Odisha, and West Bengal, with Bangladesh also lying within the potential impact zone. Coastal regions are advised to remain vigilant as the system evolves over the coming days.

What to Expect

• Formation Date: November 21 (Cyclonic Circulation)
• Low-Pressure Likelihood: November 23
• Impact Zones: North Coastal AP, Odisha, West Bengal, and Bangladesh

Meteorologists urge caution, as unusual tracks and intensities have been observed with such systems in the past. Communities along the coast should prepare for heavy rainfall, strong winds, and possible disruptions if the storm materializes.

Stay tuned for updates and follow official advisories to ensure safety during the cyclone season.

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